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Sunday, May 10, 2009

Market Week Review

  • S&P - Up 36% since Mar 6th; completed 9th week of gains; Technical indicators have been on buy since Mar 18th; Commerical Hedges have reducing shorts and small traders have been cutting back on net long positions;
  • Gold - At $917 up from $886 last week; Gold is looking weak due to low volumes and open interest; COT - continues to be long Gold
  • USD - Has been falling since Mar 6th, it is down 8%; on the week it has fallen from 84.54 to 82.53 - World is losing confidence in the Dollar due to amount of stimulus that has being printed
  • US Treasuries/Bonds - Has been falling as well, same issues as the USD and funding requirements of the US government together with China less willing to fund the US deficits
  • Oil - Moving up at $59.66 from $54.06 last week; COT continues to be long Oil

In his latest newsletter, market giant Jeremy Grantham of money management firm GMO LLC proclaimed that he was parting company with his “bearish allies.” Why? He identified the Presidential Cycle and “the power of stimulus and moral hazard to move the stock market many multiples of their modest effects on the real economy” as the reason why he had recently turned bullish.

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