Sunday, May 30, 2010

Market Recap: DJIA Suffers Worst May Performance in 70 Years

The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 7.9% for the month, marking its worst May performance since 1940. Concern over Spain's debt and unemployment levels.

Market Recap: DJIA Suffers Worst May Performance in 70 Years

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

30-40% CORRECTION?

Today, David Rosenberg discussed the possibility of a 30-40% correction in the equity markets. Rosenberg thinks we could go as low as 850 on the S&P:
“There have only been two other times when the stock market ran parabolically up from a low in barely over a year, as was the case this time around (+80% from March 2009 to April 2010): the 112% surge from June 1, 1932 to September 7, 1932; and the 116% runup from March 2, 1933 to July 18, 1933. In the first case, we had a 40% correction and in the second, the correction was 34%. So, we are talking here about the prospect of a pretty hefty reversal in the S&P 500 that could very easily take the index down to as low as 850, if the history of these types of givebacks is any indication.”

CAN WE EXPECT A 30-40% CORRECTION? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

PIMCO - Bill Gross June 2010 Investment Outlook

You load sixteen tons, what do you get?
Another day older and deeper in debt.
Saint Peter, don’t you call me ‘cause I can’t go;
I owe my soul to the company store.
– Tennessee Ernie Ford
From Bill Gross of Pimco

Debt will get you in trouble – on both sides of the dollar bill as Shakespeare wisely counseled long ago: Neither a lender nor a borrower be. That probably seems like a strange admonition coming from a guy who helps to lend $1 trillion of it – and I suppose it is. But there was a time back in 1968 when lending got me in lots of trouble – deep doo-doo, to tell you the truth – and I’ve regretted it ever since. I was a Naval officer back then, sailing between the Mekong Delta and Manila Bay........
PIMCO - Bill Gross June 2010 Investment Outlook

Jim Roger's views

See link for Jim Roger's view of China, US, UK and Australia.

"Plato said in The Republic that the way societies revolve is they go from dictatorship to oligarchy, to democracy, to chaos and back to dictatorship.'' China, according to Rogers, is in the early stages of oligarchy. And, America, if it's not careful, is heading for chaos.

Reserve earns praise, but not our politicians

How Apple Keeps Screwing It Up

Google's Android is rapidly catching up with Apple.

How Apple Keeps Screwing It Up -- Seeking Alpha

U.K. budget cutting begins with $8.3 billion slice - MarketWatch

Will see if the minority UK govt has the political will to reduce govt spending and start living within its means.

U.K. budget cutting begins with $8.3 billion slice - MarketWatch

Monday, May 17, 2010

With Local Gold Inventories Depleted, Panicking German Dealers Stage Run On Krugerrands | zero hedge

Hmmm.....maybe one needs to think about this....having a bit of Gold probably not bad insurance.

We all know paper money is just that.....paper. The value is what it can buy.



With Local Gold Inventories Depleted, Panicking German Dealers Stage Run On Krugerrands zero hedge

Sunday, May 16, 2010

The Cost of Driving, World-wide

Glad to see that the UK does not have the most expensive gasline in the world. It is Uruguay.

The UK is second place being $0.03 per liter less than Uruguay.


The Cost of Driving, World-wide

Peak Oil: The End | Jutia Group

Interesting read on energy.

Also made one comment that during the next 5-7 years, 2/3 of the oil and gas work force will be retiring.


Peak Oil: The End Jutia Group

Canada Home Price to Rent Ratio


















Looks bit toppy to me. 

Friday, May 14, 2010

Bets on Euro Decline at a Record on Concern Bailout May Fail - Bloomberg.com

I was thinking of shorting the Euro, waiting for the bounce up after the $1 trillion bailout. Did not expect that the bounce would only be part of a day. Everyone is wise to what is happening and the Euro continues its fall. It is falling too fast for me to put on a position. Now about $1.235....wow! Reading that the target is par with the USD. Will it have a bounce up so one can short or will it continue to slide down.

Bets on Euro Decline at a Record on Concern Bailout May Fail - Bloomberg.com

Deepwater Horizon Rig Disaster Threatens Drilling (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

Good article on the Deepwater Rig Disaster

It is a real shame what damage this disaster has caused.  It effectively will limit offshore drilling in the US. 

Gotta wonder about role of BP and its contractors.  Understand that BOP (blowout preventor) used is single shut off valve whereas in the North Sea, the BOPs have two shut off valves.  Seems elementary to me.  There are other stories that the BOP was leaking and dead battery, not tested, etc.   But, need to wait and get all the facts in. 

Deepwater Horizon Rig Disaster Threatens Drilling (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

Crude oil is looking gassed - is it in the process of topping?



Oil prices broke the 200 day moving average.

Deflation Investment Strategy: 5 Things You Should Know — The Contrary Investing Report

Deflation or actually depression investment strategy.

It is simple.

Stay with Cash, US Treasuries (maybe gold will be ok). Everything else is going down (stocks, oil, commodities etc).

I hope this guy is not right.

Deflation Investment Strategy: 5 Things You Should Know — The Contrary Investing Report

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

Coffee: Drink to Your Health

Lots of good reasons to drink coffee.


Coffee: Drink to Your Health

BP Stock Looks Cheap

For those daring, BP is off about $10 per share from $61 to $51. Market cap dropped $30 billion.

Yield is 6%.

Exxon paid $4 billion for their oil clean up 20 years ago, today that is $7 billion. Now this one is in the Gulf, so bet ya the costs will be at least double.

So....may be something to watch, as well, the general market. Seems bit toppy here.

I would wait....I think BP will be taken to the "cleaners"...so bit lower prices


Brett Arends on BP - WSJ.com

CARPE DIEM: Quote of the Day/Century

From Mark J. Perry's Carpe Diem:

"The champions of socialism call themselves progressives, but they recommend a system which is characterized by rigid observance of routine and by a resistance to every kind of improvement.

They call themselves liberals, but they are intent upon abolishing liberty. They call themselves democrats, but they yearn for dictatorship.

They call themselves revolutionaries, but they want to make the government omnipotent.

They promise the blessings of the Garden of Eden, but they plan to transform the world into a gigantic post office. Every man but a subordinate clerk in a bureau. What an alluring utopia!

What a noble cause to fight!Against all this frenzy of agitation there is but one weapon available: reason. Just common sense is needed to prevent man from falling prey to illusory fantasies and empty catchwords."

From "Bureaucracy" by Ludwig von Mises (1944)













CARPE DIEM: Quote of the Day/Century

Moving Average all Traders should watch

The moving average all Traders should watch

MoneyShow.com: Video